- NFP +216k, UR 8.8%, the former slightly better than expectations.
- USD getting a boost from indication of better labor market. Suffering a bit here on core positions - long commodities and short USD vs various. But expect market focus to turn squarely towards ECB Apr07 meeting when dust settles tonight.
- Reckon market has swung away from under-pricing path towards higher rates to perhaps getting a little carried away on Bernanke Fed raising rates.
- Have thus bought back all EDZ1 short at 9930 and also gone long TYM1 @ 118-13 (=3.51%) for positive carry. Happy to run the core positions naked. Am braced for some hairy moments ahead though. Would not wish to see US10YY take out 3.57% on the upside.
01 April 2011
US10YY : Initiated Long TYM1 @ 118-13
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3 comments:
Taken partial profits @ 118-28
Good trade. For whatever reason that I cannot fathom... I was worried about a hawkish Dudley. Missed the trade up.
Out balance at 118-30.5.
Best of luck in NY, Andrew.
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