- One last post before I am off tomorrow. Hope my sina.com blog works.
- Sold EDZ5 (=GEZ5 same thing) at 98.85 last night ie long yield at 1.15% vs 3 month LIBOR at 0.27%. Z5 settles in 2.5 years' time.
- Chances are high that the Fed will tighten sometime in the next year or 2. If so, EDZ5 pricing is crazy stupid wrong. Reckon 2% Fed Funds at a minimum is conservative, so EDZ5 should trade nearer to 98.00 and lower. [Pricing 1% FF only now].
- Weekly chart double top has downside objective at around 98.475 but I think we will easily slice through this. Remember, we have a long term trend change in place.
- Must increase risk on short EDZ5.
- Aside : If US rates = trending higher, gold at 1382 is wrong too.
29 May 2013
ED Futures : EDZ5 Manifest Pricing Error
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ED Futures
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3 comments:
Original position 100% @ -98.85
Added 30% at -98.78
All in now 130% at -98.833
typo .. -98.79 ...
Sold another 30% at -98.81 .. total now 160% short at 98.83 average price.
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