06 February 2012

GBP/USD : Poker Game

  • Daily chart shows how tricky it has been trading cable. Bluff and double bluff, non-trending range extensions.
  • Rectangle range between 1.54 and 1.5750 from late Nov11 to mid Jan12.
  • Downside break of range below 1.5400 in early Jan12 was a false break.
  • Followed by latest uninterrupted bull run above the 1.5770 area (significant as marked by the 3 circled spike tops).
  • After making high of 1.5881, we are now at 1.5740, back below the spike tops. So, good potential for the recent upside range break to be another false signal.
  • Trade : Initial short at 1.5771 (on way up!), still holding. Pyramid on close below 1.5700.
  • To revive the real bearish trade off the weekly complex SHS top, I would require a return below 1.5500.

1 comment:

Taichiseal said...

Back above 1.5800 = false break of false break? Damn tiresome.