- Possible trade setup here, although not exactly optimal at current levels around 1.6140.
- Monthly : Still within long tracked 4-year big triangle formation [on last cable trade here in July, was caught short by false downside break of triangle at 1.5400]. For this month, upper edge of triangle is at 1.6490. But there is no rule that price must back up all the way and turn back down to form a third upper corner of the triangle.
- The actual classical monthly triangle trade is to sell a confirmed downside break of 1.5390. We are nowhere near this yet. The much less optimal route is to try pick a top near the upper region of the triangle. The early entry at high levels will be a big psychological advantage later if works.
- Weekly : 1.6300 is looking to be a possible double top, so good place to try the early short trade against a stop close above.
- Daily : Upmove looks over-extended.
- Trade : Short a tiny amount at 1.6166, and leaving myself ample room to increase risk towards 1.6250.
02 October 2012
GBP/USD : Short @ 1.6166
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7 comments:
Game plan change. Added to short position at 1.6103. Stop moved down. At worst breakeven trade now.
Stopped out 1.6124 with tiny profit.
Re-sold at 1.6179
-1.6193 after inability to hold above 1.6200 post NFP.
Taken profit on 50% @ 1.6074. Stop on balance moved down.
Updates :
-1.6063
+1.6022
Net : -2 units
Stopped out all at 1.6068.
Trade complete. Start again with brand new trade next if deemed desirable.
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