15 October 2011

Benchmarks : Weekly Update

  • Once again, lured into trouble by "best looking chart". Perhaps I need to assign equal weights to trades regardless of beauty of chart pattern. Also re-examine practice of exit only upon weekly close confirmation. To be fair, I had been lightening up all week, but just not quickly enough.
  • USDX : Failed uptrend below 76.72.
  • US10YY : Looks even better to go long TY now than last week.
  • SP500 : This and AUD are the ones that got me completely floored. Now we are above the old triangle. I don't know what to do.
  • Gold : Still looks a bear flag to me.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Hi TS, try incorporating Fib levels in your chart analysis. As we all know prices never move in a straight line. There will always be retracements, and you will find that the 50% and 61.8% Fib levels appear very often in retracements. For example, the current DXY reversal looks like a fail of the support / trend line, but if you treat it as a retracement, it has stopped pretty close to the 50% level today.
Just my 2 cents worth. You know best what works for you.
Cheers.
Pandu