- Squared all outright long TY around 2.45% during the past week.
- Logic as per corn post earlier. Long TY from 3.00%, objective 2.20%. At 2.45%, reduce risk substantially on changing risk reward considerations.
- Exposure now only in spread against Bunds. Much less volatile but if the 2 legs tear, could be more nasty.
- Strictly speaking, last week close at 2.40% = <2.42% previous low = buy TY signal. May yet consider new trade new risk parameters (as per recent AUD) next week. Because 2.20% is but just the DT objective, a useful reference point. This could well go on to test the all time low at 2.04%
09 October 2010
US10YY : Applying Lessons of Corn
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