- XAU/EUR at 972 now. Recall I wanted to sell EUR/USD if we broke 977. Jumping the gun a bit here, but only in small size.
- Daily uptrend line broken in EUR/USD. Worth a shot (short). If this follows through a bit more and hold into the weekend close, then the weekly chart shall have a bearish tilt as well.
- Treat this new position as an outright standalone short. Separate from the existing EUR/JPY hedge which serves its own (different) purpose and to which there is no direct stop loss (only out if QE2 out).
- Addendum 9:58 pm : Just had a close up look at the weekly chart again. Forgot that 977 was last week's level. Downward sloping line so this week it is at 973 ie being tested now.
12 October 2010
EUR/USD : Fresh Outright Short @ 1.3866
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Based on DV :
1 GCZ0 = 100 oz = US$ 135,000
1 UROZ0 = EUR 125k = USD 172,500
Ratio : 1 URO to 1.28 GC
Based on IMR :
GC = 4500
URO = 4725
Ratio : apx 1.05
+Gold/-EUR @ 975
-1.4044
The short EUR/USD position locks in profits for the QE2 book overall.
+1.3800
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