16 September 2010

BCA Research : BOJ Intervention

  • Some comments and informative chart from BCA Research reproduced here.
  • "However, for currency intervention to have a long run impact, it must occur with a change in monetary policy.” In any case, there is little chance that the BoJ will ramp up its quantitative easing measures sufficiently to make a difference. 
  •  Furthermore, comments by a top Japanese government official following the intervention will likely invite further speculation on the yen: Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshito Sengoku was quoted as saying that the Ministry of Finance (MoF) “seems to "think” 82 yen per dollar needs to be defended. By drawing a ‘line in the sand’ the MoF is only persuading currency traders to test the BoJ’s resolve.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hey TS, are you still short JPY after the intervention?

Cheers,
Pandu

Taichiseal said...

No. I have been long JPY (short USD/JPY) all this while.

That was the plan - 1. long some JPY. 2. wait for intervention to add on which is what I did.