- Greece aid package agreement = temporary cooling of debt crisis (still rest of PIGS for markets to pick on).
- Easing of panic evident from 10 year bond yield charts of Germany and Greece.
- EU10YY : Spike bottom at 2.905%. Greece bailout = more funding pressures for core Europe. Sell Bunds. Watch 3.09% (now at 3.00%) - if taken out, bunds could go a lot lower.
- GR10YY : Spike top at 13.14% (now 9.33%).
- Prefer to pair Selling Bunds with shorting EUR/USD. Good news for Greece = lower bunds and relief rally (reckon already half done) for EUR/USD. Any hiccup = EUR/USD takes a hit but Bunds will not necessarily rally a lot given the anticapated funding demands/credit pressures (barring an ejection of Greece from the EU).
30 April 2010
EU Debt Crisis : Spike Extremes
Labels:
Bunds_,
EU Debt Crisis
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