11 March 2010

EUR/USD : Enough of Consolidation

  • Newton's Law of Inertia (1st Law): A body in a state of uniform motion tends to remain in that state of motion unless an external force is applied to it. 
  •  And so it is with Trend Following. Assume existing trend until reversal occurs.
  • Weekly candlestick bodies bunched around 1.3650 for 4 weeks now. This cannot remain the case for long. At some point (soon), the prevailing trend will re-assert itself, ie EUR/USD to resume selling, CME extreme positioning data notwithstanding. 
  • Daily is converging into a triangle. Downside leg of triangle is at 1.3560 today.

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