16 March 2010

EUR/GBP : Time Is Near

  • First looked at this on 07Feb10. Since then, have switched long USD risk originally skewed predominantly against EUR, to GBP as the main counter-currency now.
  • All this while, have not actually considered going long EUR/GBP as an outright standalone trade. Always lurking in the background was the long USD trade.
  • Believe that the time is drawing near for a long EUR/GBP trade.
  • Monthly : A Mar10 close above 0.8997 = end of consolidation.
  • Weekly : Short of a weekly close above 0.9120 to breakout of the triangle. (Now at 0.9065). Waiting for this to occur before putting on a fresh long here.
  • Entry criterion based on the 2nd candlesticks chart above is more stringent.

No comments: