20 November 2009

ED Spread : Nice ...

  • Updated chart here.
  • Short since Aug09. Patience finally paying off now.
  • Thus far, it has been low rates fueling risk assets rally.
  • In near term, I do not see low rates scenario changing.
  • But ... gut feel that risk assets rally due for a pause or pullback even (eg USD index downTL break), for whatever reason.
  • If so, it is possible that we next see risk assets weakness providing a reason for further narrowing of ED spreads.
  • This is now a sell at +68.5 (currently 66/67).
  • We are in a 3rd wave type move here. Do not take profits.

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