24 November 2009

ED Spread : Broken Record .. +ve Carry

  • 0x3 USD FRA = 3 mth Libor = 0.26%
  • 6x9 USD FRA = 0.48%
  • Diff = 0.22%
  • 7x10 = EDM0 = 0.50%
  • 13x16 = EDZ0 = 1.165%
  • Diff = 0.665%
  • +ve Carry = +44.5 bp over 7 mths = Appx 6 bp per month
  • In event of re-emergence of credit fears, pressure on the front end will probably cause the spread to narrow.
  • No room for widening due to rate cuts given already at ZIRP.

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