26 September 2009

Benchmarks : Weekly Update

  • USD Index : Downtrend intact. Watch possible test of DownTL at 77.43. Role as risk proxy complicated by non-uniform reaction vs (JPY+CHF) and vs High Yielders. Also Japanese fiscal half year closing complicating matters further.
  • US10YY : Yields look top heavy to me. Even better if we can break 3.26%.
  • S&P500 : Latest candle is a black one. But until TLs are broken or reversal patterns evident (so far none), it's still in an UpTrend!
  • Gold : Close back below 1005.4 is disappointing but triangle still valid. Expect full or partial test of triangle support line at 972 driven by USD/fx moves.

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