31 August 2009

Shanghai Composite : Very Weak Monthly Close

  • Aug09 candle completely reverses gains of Jun+Jul09. Technically very bearish candle.
  • Will China lead the West ? Recall China equities bottomed in Nov08; US equities did not start their rally until Mar09
  • A few signs of S&P top nearing eg EUR/JPY weakness, China, low US yields (relative to recent highs), ED spreads turning
  • Must try to catch the S&P turn. Next big one?

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