26 August 2009

Eurodollar Spread : Sign of Top Crystallizing

  • Last at +85
  • Recent high +92.5 (new intra-day high last week) not sustained
  • Weekly chart beginning to show more confident sign of a double top
  • Back in Oct08, daily high reached was at +90
  • Trade parameters becoming clear now. Stop out shorts on close at +93 and above
  • Risk reward measurable now with greater confidence
  • Ties in with my expectation that Risk Off will be next major theme of markets
  • Now worth a big punt given no need for "fuzzy exit"
  • This is my preferred initial entry mode into Risk Off given the clear hard stop settings. (FX still uncertain to me).

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