28 April 2010

Gold : Bullish

  • New observation : EUR down = Gold up. Old EUR vs Gold positive correlation broken down. If so, Gold vs USD correlation should turn positive.
  • Will new relationship sustain? Too early to tell. But if it is correct, then being long Gold = same risk as short EUR. Watch book risk levels! Rebalancing time.
  • Central bank reserve switching out of EUR into Gold is real (Gartman) and will likely continue given deep rooted problems within EU.
  • Am positive on USD outlook here.
  • Gold charts bullish against the other majors. 
  • Think Gold/USD chart is lagging and will play catch up.
  • So, buy Gold vs USD. Finally.

1 comment:

Taichiseal said...

Paid 1164.7 for GCM0.