19 January 2011

USDX : Breaking Down = Risk On ?

  • Weekly and daily charts showing signs of breaking down. In the past (post crisis since USD became a funding currency), USDX down = Risk On trades gaining. If this still holds, then presumably commodity prices and currencies (AUD+CAD) = up; equities up; not too sure about bond yields, but more likely up than down.
  • On daily chart, downside target has magnitude of around 2.5 big figures ie around 76.20 (now at 78.50).
  • [From core book perspective, it would be lovely now if Europe blows up again, whilst Risk On stays up].

No comments: