21 January 2011

US10YY : At Crossroads

  • Weekly triangle upper line is at 3.45%. Closed right on it tonight.
  • Tomorrow's (EOW Friday) close is crucial. Above 3.45% = Triangle breakout pointing to objective of around 3.77%, which takes us above long term trendline resistance on monthly chart at 3.66%.
  • Get ready to forget about prohibitive negative carry and go with the break.

2 comments:

Taichiseal said...

Move last night driven by strong US data :=

Initial jobless claims -37k to 404k
Dec Existing Home Sales +12.3%

Taichiseal said...

Initiated fresh short TYH1 @ average price 119-27. Jumping the gun a bit.