12 April 2010

EU10YY : Greece Bailout = Sell Bunds ?

  • Bailout of Greece = Euro core assuming risk of peripheral countries = Long term bearish for Bunds.
  • Thus, look at EU10YY chart through "bailout-tinted" glasses (ie view it with a pre-conceived upwards bias).
  • Assuming EU10YY is up, stop loss on monthly chart should be close below the triangle line at 3.06%.
  • Going forward, will be looking for trade location to establish short Bunds against this stop.
  • This fits in nicely with bearish view of TY.

No comments: